Usually we’re not in the business of odds-making on this site, but I’m always happy to report on guarantees. And in the world of guarantees, there’s confidence, and then there’s the reportedly “very, very confident” Giants’ free safety Antrel Rolle.
Following the Redskins Week 1 victory over the Giants, Rolle reportedly told WFAN, the sports talk radio station in New York:
“We know the Redskins are not a better team than us. If we played them 100 times, they might win five.”
Technically, this factors out to a 95 percent guarantee of victory.
But in a followup interview, yesterday on WFAN, Rolle corrected the host (and himself), saying “I said ninety-nine.” Considering that the Redskins already won in Week 1, they would mathematically be expected to lose the next 99 times they played them, or every time for the next 50 years.
But that’s not to say that Rolle is guaranteeing victory. Nay, that would be too bold (via Paul Schwartz, New York Post):
“I don’t plan on losing to the Redskins, I’m going to be honest with you,’’ Rolle said. “I’m not guaranteeing a victory, I’m not doing any of that, we got to play the game come Sunday, but I’m very, very confident in this team and very, very confident we’re going to get the job done.’’
Very, very confident though he may be, Rolle has left his teammates with a check that they’re not quite as confident in cashing. Receiver Victor Cruz spoke with the Washington media this afternoon and discussed how Rolle can talk, but the onus is on the team to back it up.
“Yeah, y’know, he’s a passionate guy that believes in our team,” Cruz began, carefully. “We understand that a guy like that, we have to rally behind him, and we understand that he’s always for the team. We understand his words, and we understand that we have to back him up 100 percent.”
Redskins quarterback Rex Grossman also responded to Rolle’s predictions to the New York media today, pointing out the obvious fallacy in winning 99-of-100 games (via Schwartz, New York Post):
“It is the NFL and nobody is going to beat anyone 99 out of 100 times,’’ Redskins quarterback Rex Grossman said Wednesday on a conference call. “I am confident about where we are. We haven’t finished games lately and we need to finish and everything should take care of itself. I understand that there is a lot of pride in the NFL and a lot of people go about their business with a lot of pride and ego and we do the same thing.”
It’ll be interesting to see how Rolle’s ‘confidence’ manifests itself on Sunday, but don’t expect the Redskins coaches or players to have the same level of understanding for Rolle’s ‘passionate’ predictions.